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隧道建设(中英文) ›› 2018, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (S2): 25-30.DOI: 10.3973/j.issn.2096-4498.2018.S2.004

• 研究与探索 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于物元可拓模型的改扩建隧道施工安全风险评估

邱礼球   

  1. (福建厦蓉高速公路漳龙段扩建工程有限公司, 福建 龙岩 364000)
  • 收稿日期:2018-06-19 修回日期:2018-10-15 出版日期:2018-12-30 发布日期:2019-01-30
  • 作者简介:邱礼球(1970—),男,福建龙岩人,1999年毕业于西安公路交通大学,桥梁工程专业,本科,高级工程师,现主要从事项目管理工作。Email: 3397194684@qq.com。
  • 基金资助:

    福建省交通运输厅2014年科技计划资助项目(Y-201400006)

Safety Risk Assessment of Tunnel Rehabilitation/Enlargement Based  on Matter Element Extension Model

QIU Liqiu   

  1. (ZhangzhouLongyan Section Enlargement Engineering Co., Ltd. of Fujian XiamenChengdu  Expressway, Longyan 364000, Fujian, China)
  • Received:2018-06-19 Revised:2018-10-15 Online:2018-12-30 Published:2019-01-30

摘要:

为预防改扩建隧道施工发生安全事故,提高改扩建隧道施工安全风险控制能力,以新建后祠隧道坍塌风险事件为例,进行施工安全风险评估。根据现有研究成果和工程实际情况,建立改扩建隧道施工安全指标体系,利用物元可拓模型确定各指标关联度、利用熵权法计算指标的权重,分别对风险发生的可能性和风险严重程度进行综合评价,最后利用风险矩阵法判别风险等级。将该评价方法应用于新建后祠隧道施工风险评估中,结果表明: 基于可拓理论和风险矩阵的评估方法对改扩建隧道施工安全风险评估具有一定的适用性。

关键词: 改扩建隧道, 可拓理论, 风险矩阵法, 施工安全评估

Abstract:

In order to avoid the serious safety accidents induced by tunnel rehabilitation/enlargement and improve the safety risk control capacity, the safety risk assessment of collapse of Houci Tunnel is carried out. The safety index system of tunnel rehabilitation/enlargement is established according to the existing research results and the actual situation of the project; and then the correlation degree of each index is determined by matterelement extension model, the entropy weight method is used to calculate the index weight; finally, the probability of the risk and risk severity are evaluated respectively, and the risk grade is identified by the risk matrix. The safety risk assessment method is applied to Houci Tunnel, and the applicable results show that the abovementioned method is feasible for safety risk assessment of tunnel rehabilitation/enlargement.

Key words: tunnel rehabilitation/enlargement, extension theory, risk matrix method, construction safety assessment

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