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隧道建设(中英文) ›› 2011, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (S1): 123-129.

• 研究与探索 • 上一篇    下一篇

系统思考于长隧道防灾之研究

邓敏政1,简贤文2,苏昭郎1   

  1. (1. 国家灾害防救科技中心, 台北; 2. 中央警察大学, 桃园)
  • 收稿日期:2011-04-15 修回日期:2011-05-27 出版日期:2011-08-05 发布日期:2011-11-04
  • 作者简介:邓敏政(1970—),2002年毕业于交通大学土木工程学系,博士,助理研究员,现从事关键设施灾害防治研究工作。

Study on Disaster Reduction of Long Tunnels

TENG MinCheng1, CHIEN Shenwen2, SU Jaulang1   

  1. (1. National Science & Technology Center for Disaster Reduction, New Taipei City; 2. Central Police University, Taoyuan County)
  • Received:2011-04-15 Revised:2011-05-27 Online:2011-08-05 Published:2011-11-04

摘要: 长公路隧道空间潜藏之危险可能造成重大灾害之伤亡及交通运输路网系统功能失效,其空间内之安全防灾系统及防灾应变作业必需经过严谨的考量,以因应其空间之复杂及防灾功能性要求,故于灾害管理信息整合及应用上也更趋重要。救灾工作系与时间在赛跑,对于时间延迟的影响,是整体防灾目标达成之关键因素;然救灾仅以灾害后果之情境来模拟,恐无法展现各系统因果关联与灾害信息滞延之后遗症影响,此外对于救灾工作跨组织协调、应变工作派遣、救援资源、疏散避难等面向,皆无法完整真实反应防救灾系统。有鉴于此,对于长隧道空间之防灾及安全管理应谨慎进行评估。本文系以系统思考为出发点,考量长公路隧道具有空间复杂、跨领域防灾知识及科技研究限制等特性,针对系统内具时间延迟特性进行灾害冲击探讨,藉由各子系统之因果关系,探究灾害防治问题与灾措施,最后结合长隧道空间灾害信息,尝试以系统性结构建立定性分析模型,希冀本文研究内容可强化灾害防治工作与救援策略,并避免灾害带来的后遗症累积,而所提出之灾害管理之系统思考,将有助于未来系统建立动力模式与进行风险管理之基础建立。

关键词: 系统思考, 长隧道, 灾害管理

Abstract: The risk hidden in the space of long road tunnel could cause serious life loses and transportation system damage. Therefore, how to prevent and decrease the impact of disaster should be considered for the disaster precaution and security management in the long road tunnel area. Disaster rescue is a race against time, and time delay is the key to overall disaster prevention goal. If thinking of disaster rescue only in scenarios of disaster aftermath, then causal system relationships and disaster information delay sequences would not be exhibited. Furthermore, disaster rescues crossorganization coordination, emergency response expatriation, rescue site urgency, and importance fail to realistically reflect overall disaster prevention and rescue systems. This study adopted systematic thinking to consider disaster complexity, crossdiscipline applications, technical research limits, discussed causal relationship of disaster subsystems, studied root problems of disaster prevention and disaster prevention measures, established a qualitative analysis model of systematic structure, in order to avoid buildup of disaster derived sequences. Therefore, overall systematic thinking of disaster prevention strategies and management will aid in creating future dynamic system models and risk management analysis.

Key words: systematic thinking, long tunnel, disaster management