ISSN 2096-4498

   CN 44-1745/U

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Tunnel Construction ›› 2023, Vol. 43 ›› Issue (6): 1035-1044.DOI: 10.3973/j.issn.2096-4498.2023.06.014

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Characteristics and ShortTerm Prediction Model for Detecting Vehicle Driving Speed in ExtraLong Freeway Tunnels

WU Ling1, 2, LIU Jianbei1, *, SHAN Donghui1, MA Xiaolong1, WANG Yuanqing3   

  1. (1.CCCC First Highway Consultants Co.,Ltd.,Xi′an710065,Shaanxi,China;2.School of Vehicle Engineering,Xian Aeronautical University,Xian 710077,Shaanxi,China;3.Key Laboratory of Transportation Industry for Traffic Network Facility Control and Recycling Repair Technology in Ecological Safety Barrier Area,Changan University,Xian 710018,Shaanxi,China)
  • Online:2023-06-20 Published:2023-07-14

Abstract:  Vehicle driving speed characteristics in extralong freeway tunnels are analyzed using radar networking technologybased realtime traffic parameter acquisition method. The highprecision timeseries speed data of all samples from the entire tunnel are extracted. The tunnel is then divided into three sections: entrance, driving, and exit, and a shortterm prediction model for detecting vehicle driving speed in extralong freeway tunnels is constructed using a timeseries Transformer framework. The main findings of the study are as follows: (1) The lowest average vehicle driving speed is discretely distributed at the entrance section. (2) The statistical value of 85% quantile vehicle driving speed in each lane shows a decreasing trend along the same road section. (3) The driving speed of a passenger car at different sections exhibits a decreasing law, and there is a considerable difference between the entrance and exit sections. (4) Although the freight cars slow down at the entrance section, the actual driving speed of passenger cars is higher than the maximum speed limit of the main lane. (5) The maximum accuracy of the speed prediction model is 97.82%, and the average absolute error is 1.67 km/h. These results demonstrate that dark adaptation has a significant impact on the drivers speed control behavior. The speed limit of the main lane is not fully applicable on the extralong tunnel environment, and thus, guidance must be provided for different vehicles and lanes in advance to avoid accidents. The timeseries Transformer model established in this paper is suitable for shortterm speed prediction of all lanes in extralong freeway tunnels.

Key words: extralong freeway tunnel, vehicle speed prediction, Transformer framework, prediction model