ISSN 2096-4498
CN 44-1745/U
ISSN 2096-4498
CN 44-1745/U
Prediction Model for Grease Consumption of Super-Large Diameter Slurry Shield Based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model
(1.China Railway 14th Bureau Group Co., Ltd., Jinan 250101, Shandong, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Transportation Tunnel Engineering, Ministry of Education, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, China)
Online published: 2023-04-17
Grease is a major consumable material in the shield tunneling process, and the accurate prediction of grease consumption is significant in controlling the project cost. In this study, a time series prediction model of shield tail sealing grease consumption based on bidirectional long shortterm memory and autoregressive integrated moving average model(BiLSTMARIMA) is constructed to manage and predict the shield tail sealing grease consumption accurately. Moreover, a backpropagation(BP) neural network prediction model of shield tail sealing grease consumption is established, considering shield tunneling parameters and related engineering, geological, and hydrogeological parameters. The prediction model was applied to the Yellow river tunnel in Jinan, China, and the shield tail sealing grease consumption in the eastern section of the tunnel was trained and predicted. The results show that the root mean square error of the applied BiLSTMARIMA model is 13.47 and the mean absolute percentage error is only 3.13 %, indicating better practicability and reliability than the ARIMA time series and the BP neural network models.
LIU Sijin
,
WANG Yubo
,
FANG Yong
,
XIONG Yingjian
,
MA Yuyang
.
Prediction Model for Grease Consumption of Super-Large
Diameter Slurry Shield Based on Bidirectional Long Short-Term
Memory and Autoregressive
Integrated Moving Average Model
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