ISSN 2096-4498

   CN 44-1745/U

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Tunnel Construction

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Integration of Machine Learning for Prediction and Intelligent Parameter Design in Shield Tunneling Muck Conditioning

FU Hainan1, ZHOU Xiong1,2,*, YANG Jiangbo1, LIU Xiaoyang1, CAI Hao3   

  1. (1. School of Engineering and Technology, China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Beijing 100083; 2. Hebei Key Laboratory of Disaster Prevention and Renewal for Urban Underground Engineering,China University of Geosciences (Beijing), Xiong’an 133100,Hebei, China; 3. China Railway 14th Bureau Group Corporation, Limited, Jinan 250000, Shandong, China)

  • Online:2026-04-07 Published:2026-04-07

Abstract:

To achieve intelligent design and precise prediction of soil conditioning, this study proposes a hybrid modeling approach integrating machine learning and inverse reasoning. Using sandy soil from the Shenyang Metro Line 3 project as the subject, a dataset containing 120 groups of data was established through laboratory tests, covering key parameters such as effective particle size, foam injection ratio, slurry concentration, and slurry injection ratio. The performance of six machine learning algorithms in predicting soil slump and permeability coefficient was systematically compared. The results show that the Support Vector Regression (SVR) model performed best in both tasks, demonstrating high prediction accuracy and strong robustness. Interpretability analysis based on the SHAP method indicates that effective particle size is the most critical factor influencing conditioning effectiveness, and different output variables exhibit significant differences in sensitivity to input features. To address issues in inverse parameter design such as overfitting and non-unique solutions, this study innovatively proposes an SVR-BPNN hybrid modeling strategy. It employs a BP model to generate parameter combinations and verifies them through the SVR model with iterative optimization, significantly improving the feasibility and reliability of parameter design. The model was successfully applied in the Shenyang Metro Line 3 project. With target slump of 200 mm and permeability coefficient of 2.0×10-5cm/s as inputs, the model inversely derived conditioner parameter combinations that met error requirements. Field measurements aligned well with target values, and shield tunneling proceeded smoothly, validating the model’s effectiveness and practical value in real-world engineering.

Key words: shield muck conditioning, machine learning, parameter prediction, inverse design, SVR-BPNN hybrid model